Adjustment of Chinese agricultural structure from the perspective of grain production and consumption of meat in China

With the rapid development of Chinese economy, upgrading of dietary structure has become an irreversible trend. The paper aimsto analyze the structural problems of Chinese agricultural system from the perspective of meat and grain production. H-P filter and comparative analysis areadopted to analyzethe stability and development trend of Chinese grain-consumption and non-grain-consumption meat production.The results indicated that the ratio among Chinese per capita consumption of grain,per capita consumption of non-grain-consumption meat and per capita consumption of grain-consumption meat had been changed from 70.53∶6.36∶1 to 9.37∶2.68∶1 during 1992 and 2012. This revealed that Chinese per capita consumption of grain was significantly reduced in people’s diet whereas the meat consumption gradually increased. Chinese meat production fluctuated in recent years. A substantial increase in meat production and a large increase in meat consumption, in turn, madean inevitable increase in food consumption. Grain production increased steadily but the potential for grain production had been gradually reduced since 2000. Therefore, under the practical needs of the adjustment of Chinese residents’ dietary structure, the conflict between the rising demand of meat and the decreasing supply potential of grain gradually stand out, which makes the reduced demand for grain becomes necessary. Under the pressure of huge grain demand, increasing the production of non-grain-consumption mutton and beef, developing pastoral agriculture become optional ways.